With six games left, the Premier League title race 2026 is a three-way battle between Arsenal, Man City, and Liverpool. We break down the standings, fixtures, and key factors.
The Premier League title race 2026 has reached a boiling point, with Manchester City, Arsenal, and Liverpool locked in a fierce battle for the crown. As of April 4, 2026, just three points separate the top three, and every match could swing the outcome.
After 32 rounds of the 2025-26 Premier League season, the title picture is clearer than ever — yet still wide open. Manchester City occupy top spot with 78 points, compiling 23 wins, nine draws, and six losses. Their goal difference of +47 is the best in the league, showcasing their attacking firepower and defensive resilience under Pep Guardiola.
Arsenal, just two points behind, have played only 31 games due to a postponed fixture against Southampton — a match they must now play mid-April. That game could prove pivotal. Liverpool, under Arne Slot, remain in striking distance with 75 points, but face a tougher run-in. Aston Villa, in fourth, are 12 points back, effectively ending their title hopes and making this a three-horse race.
Manchester City's remaining six games are: Fulham (H), Newcastle (A), Arsenal (H), West Ham (H), Brighton (A), Manchester United (H). The home clash with Arsenal on April 19 is widely seen as the season’s most critical match. While they avoid a trip to Anfield or Tottenham, the derby and European fatigue from the Champions League semi-finals could take a toll.
Arsenal face Southampton (H) [in hand], Chelsea (H), Brentford (A), Man City (A), Everton (H), Leicester (H), Crystal Palace (A). Their game at the Etihad is daunting, but they finish with softer opposition. Crucially, they are not in European competition, giving them a recovery edge.
Liverpool must play Tottenham (A), Arsenal (H), Fulham (H), Everton (A), Wolves (H), Newcastle (A). The visit from Arsenal on April 26 is massive, but back-to-back games against Everton and Wolves offer winnable points. However, ending with Newcastle away is a tough finale.
When the pressure mounts, individuals rise. At Manchester City, Phil Foden has stepped up in the absence of Kevin De Bruyne, scoring 17 goals and providing 12 assists. Erling Haaland remains lethal with 28 goals in 30 appearances. But De Bruyne’s injury — a hamstring strain — rules him out for at least three weeks, a major blow.
Arsenal rely on Bukayo Saka, who has 21 goals and 10 assists, and Martin Odegaard, back sharp after international duty. Defensively, William Saliba and Gabriel have formed one of the league’s tightest partnerships. However, Declan Rice’s fitness is uncertain after a recent ankle knock — his absence would weaken their midfield control.
Liverpool still lean on Mohamed Salah (19 goals), but Diogo Jota and 19-year-old academy graduate Kwame Yeboah have added depth up front. The defense, led by Virgil van Dijk, has kept 14 clean sheets, but inconsistency on the right flank remains a concern.
Using a data-driven model factoring in form, fixture difficulty, injuries, and historical performance in crunch time, we project the following title probabilities: Manchester City — 48%, Arsenal — 35%, Liverpool — 17%. City’s depth and track record in tight races give them the edge.
However, the model accounts for Champions League involvement: City are in the semi-finals, which could drain energy. Arsenal, with no European football, have a fresher squad. If Rice misses more than two games, Arsenal’s chances drop to 26%. Liverpool’s tough finish and lack of squad rotation reduce their ceiling despite their momentum.
"In a three-way title race, consistency beats momentum. City have mastered the endgame — but Arsenal’s hunger could rewrite history," says Premier League analyst Karen Walker.
Q: Who is winning the Premier League 2025-26?
A: As of April 4, 2026, Manchester City are top with 78 points, followed by Arsenal (76) and Liverpool (75).
Q: How many games are left in the Premier League?
A: Most teams have 6 games left, but Arsenal have 7 due to a postponed match against Southampton.
Q: When was the last time Arsenal won the Premier League?
A: Arsenal last won the Premier League in 2004, completing an unbeaten season under Arsène Wenger — famously known as "The Invincibles."
